SPC MD 36

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MD 0036 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 6… FOR A PORTION OF SERN LA NEWD INTO SWRN AND S-CNTRL MS
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  MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0036 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0457 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016  AREAS AFFECTED...A PORTION OF SERN LA NEWD INTO SWRN AND S-CNTRL MS  CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 6...  VALID 212257Z - 220000Z  THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 6 CONTINUES.  SUMMARY...GREATEST TORNADO RISK OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS APPEARS TO BE FOCUSED FROM NEAR AND NORTH OF BATON ROUGE TO NEAR AND IMMEDIATELY SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON.  DISCUSSION...22Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE MESOANALYSIS PLACES A TRIPLE POINT 1008MB LOW 30 MI NNW MCB WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED NW TO SE AND AN EFFECTIVE/MARITIME FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER NWWD INTO SERN LA AND NNEWD INTO S-CNTRL MS.  A NARROW WEDGE OF RICHER AND PARTIALLY MODIFIED MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S IS LOCATED WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR.  VAD WIND TRENDS OVER THE PAST 2-4 HOURS AT KDGX SHOW SWLY WINDS INCREASING BY 10 KT IN THE 2-5KM LAYER--RESULTING IN A MODEST INCREASE IN HODOGRAPH SIZE /150-200 M2 PER S2 0-1 KM SRH/.  AS STORMS CURRENTLY OVER SERN LA MATURE AND DEVELOP NEWD WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE...THE POTENTIAL FOR MESOCYCLONE DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION WILL PROBABLY INCREASE.  A SUPERCELL TORNADO RISK WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS AND A DMGG WIND THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST BOTH WITH THE SUPERCELLS AND WITH AREAS WHERE THE CONVECTIVE LINE SURGES/BOWS.  ..SMITH.. 01/21/2016  ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...  ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...  LAT...LON   30799135 31679055 32258986 32238948 31928937 30509067             30799135   

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