SPC MD 53

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MD 0053 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR MIDDLE TN…ERN KY…FAR SW WV
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  MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0053 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1256 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2016  AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN...ERN KY...FAR SW WV  CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW   VALID 221856Z - 222300Z  SUMMARY...BAND OF HEAVY SNOWFALL...WITH OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES OVER 1 INCH PER HOURS...IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST WHILE GRADUALLY SHIFTING EWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOUR. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE STRENGTH OF THE BAND IS EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AS THE STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT SHIFTS FARTHER EWD/NEWD.  DISCUSSION...CURRENT REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW FROM MIDDLE TN NEWD INTO SWRN WV. LATEST MESOANALYSIS PLACES THE 850-MB LOW CENTER JUST TO THE S OF THIS BAND OVER FAR NRN AL. AS THIS LOW CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY MOVE ENEWD ACROSS GA...SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED OFF THE SC COAST...RESULTING IN A GRADUAL EWD/NEWD SHIFT OF THE FRONTOGENESIS SUPPORTING THIS BAND. AS A RESULT...THE BAND WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN STRENGTH THIS AFTERNOON...EVENTUALLY DISPERSING OR REFORMING ACROSS AREAS TO THE NE BY THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...BEFORE THAT OCCURS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE WITH SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR POSSIBLE.  ..MOSIER.. 01/22/2016  ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...  ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...HUN...  LAT...LON   35458691 35948688 36918594 37968446 38478326 38668253             38718189 38568142 38228119 37328205 36898282 36178440             35768496 35478536 35268595 35188666 35458691   

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